TIFA Survey Reveals Divided Public Opinion on Broad-Based Government in Kenya

Zilper Ochieng

A new survey by Trends and Insights for Africa (TIFA) has revealed a deeply divided Kenyan public over the idea of a broad-based government, highlighting growing political polarization and mixed public sentiment on governance arrangements in the country. According to the findings, 44 per cent of Kenyans support the formation of a broad-based government, while 48 per cent oppose the idea, with the remaining respondents either undecided or unwilling to express a clear position. The results underline how contentious the proposal remains, even as political leaders continue to debate its merits and implications.

What a Broad-Based Government Means

A broad-based government typically refers to an arrangement where leaders from different political parties or coalitions come together to share power, often in the name of national unity, political stability, or inclusive governance. In Kenya, such arrangements have historically emerged during moments of political tension or national crisis.

Supporters argue that a broad-based government can reduce political hostility, promote inclusivity, and allow leaders to focus on development rather than constant political competition. Critics, however, view it as a betrayal of voter choice, weakening of opposition oversight, and a potential avenue for political expediency rather than accountability.

Supporters See Unity and Stability

The TIFA survey indicates that a significant portion of Kenyans believe a broad-based government could help stabilize the political environment and foster cooperation across party lines. For these respondents, inclusivity is seen as a way to lower political temperatures and ensure that diverse voices are represented in decision-making.

Some supporters associate such an arrangement with national cohesion, arguing that Kenya’s history of politically charged divisions makes unity-driven governance attractive, particularly during challenging economic or social periods.

Opposition Rooted in Accountability Concerns

On the other hand, the 48 per cent who oppose a broad-based government raise concerns about accountability and democratic principles. Many believe that blending government and opposition roles weakens checks and balances, making it harder to hold leaders accountable for policy failures or misuse of public resources. Opponents also argue that voters elect leaders based on party platforms and ideological differences, and that post-election power-sharing undermines the democratic mandate given at the ballot.

A Reflection of a Polarised Nation

The narrow gap between supporters and opponents reflects a nation still grappling with questions of governance, representation, and trust in political institutions. Analysts say the findings suggest that Kenyans are not rejecting unity outright, but remain cautious about how political power is shared and exercised. The survey also highlights the growing demand for issue-based leadership, with many Kenyans more concerned about economic conditions, cost of living, service delivery, and corruption than political alignments.

Implications for Political Leadership

The TIFA findings present a clear message to political leaders: there is no overwhelming public consensus on a broad-based government. Any move in that direction would require transparency, public engagement, and a clear explanation of how such an arrangement would benefit ordinary citizens. Without that clarity, analysts warn that political compromises risk being interpreted as elite deals disconnected from public needs.

The Road Ahead

As Kenya continues to navigate its political future, the survey underscores the importance of listening to public opinion and respecting democratic choices. Whether through cooperation across political divides or strong opposition oversight, Kenyans appear united in one expectation governance that delivers results and improves livelihoods. The debate on a broad-based government is therefore likely to continue, shaped by economic realities, political developments, and evolving public expectations.

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